SESSION 2001/2002 |
FIRST REPORT
|
COMMITTEE FOR EMPLOYMENT AND LEARNING
Report on the Inquiry into Education and Training for Industry
(Continued)
MINUTES OF EVIDENCE
Thursday 15 February 2001
Members present:
Dr
Birnie (Chairperson)
Mr
Carrick (Deputy Chairperson)
Mr
Beggs
Mrs
Carson
Mr
Dallat
Mr
R Hutchinson
Mr
J Kelly
Ms
McWilliams
Mrs
Nelis
Witnesses:
Mr C Holmes ) Northern
Ireland Council
Mr R McCune ) for the
Curriculum,
Dr A Walker ) Examinations
and Assessment
1816.
The Chairperson: This meeting is being
held in the context of our ongoing inquiry into education and training for industry
in Northern Ireland.
1817.
Thank
you for your submission. We are likely to focus on your ongoing curriculum review,
which has as one of its objectives the setting up of a framework for the development of skills
with particular reference to vocational education and information and communication
technology (ICT). We would like to commend that objective.
1818.
Dr Walker: I would like to introduce my colleagues, Roger
McCune, who is responsible for curriculum and qualifications
development in the 14 to 19 age range, and Cecil Holmes, who works in
Mr McCune's unit, primarily in the areas of vocational qualifications
and careers. As head of education services for all the Council for the Curriculum, Examinations and Assessment (CCEA),
my responsibility is in the area of curriculum, examinations and assessment.
1819.
We
want to comment on our submission and update you on recent developments in our
work and elsewhere that we believe are relevant to your inquiry. Our written
submission is divided into two parts. The first part deals with changes that
have already taken place, or that will take place shortly, to the curriculum
and to qualifications. That reflects the CCEA's role as an advisory body on
the curriculum and development and quality assurance of qualifications.
1820.
The
second part of the submission refers to the specific role of further education
colleges. We have a statutory responsibility to advise on the curriculum for
all young people in full-time education until the age of 19, whether they are
in schools or in colleges. When we offer advice on matters concerning the 16
to 19 age group,
we do so simultaneously to Mr Martin McGuinness and to Dr Seán Farren.
1821.
In 2000 we consulted extensively
on the outcomes of the first phase of the curriculum review, which concerned
whole-curriculum issues and the aims and values underlying the curriculum. The
framework for the curriculum and how it should be constructed was also covered.
In the revised curriculum we also wanted to clarify and make explicit issues
relating to personal, social and health education, as well as citizenship and
employability.
1822.
We
gave a clear signal, in the consultations at the end of phase one last year,
on the enhanced place of skills and competencies within the curriculum. Our
belief is that the curriculum should no longer be regarded as knowledge-led.
In that consultation the responses we received were, for the most part, very
positive. There was a lot of detailed feedback, and we have been making use
of that as we progress the second phase of the review.
1823.
I
would like to say something in particular about what we have been doing in relation
to 14 to 16 year olds, as that is the age group that this Committee is probably
most concerned with. We are almost ready for a second stage of consultation
on a more detailed framework for the curriculum for that age group.
1824.
We
have with us pre-publication copies of a consultation paper that will be launched
next month, which we would be pleased to leave with members of the Committee.
We would be grateful if the paper could be regarded as confidential at present,
but obviously if members have any comments or queries they would like to take
up with us, we will be only too delighted to respond.
1825.
In
our view the proposals represent a significant move towards greater flexibility
for schools and for individual students. At the core of the proposed framework, we have placed the
six key skills of communication, application of numbers, information technology, working
with others, managing
or learning, and problem solving. We have suggested that those skills
should be the statutory minimum entitlement for all young people, along with
some aspect of the curriculum that is work related. We emphasise that we intend
that to apply to all 14 to 16 year olds.
1826.
We
have also emphasised the role of personal development education, including citizenship,
and of creativity, as well as science and technology. Together, that group should
comprise the statutory entitlement for all 14 to 16 year olds. We have emphasised
the value and the role of language learning, but we are not at this stage proposing
that it should be compulsory for every pupil. We think that there may be small
numbers of pupils for whom, at present, that may not be productive.
1827.
We
look forward to the responses we are due to receive to this document in April
and May. We will then firm up recommendations to the Ministers at a later stage
in the summer.
1828.
I
want to say a few words about the changes which took place in the curriculum for 16 to 19 year
olds in September 2000 with the introduction of revised GCE A and
AS levels, the new advanced subsidiary; the changes to the GNVQ advanced examinations, which
now become vocational A levels; and the introduction of the separate
key skills qualification. The intention behind those changes was a desire to
broaden the curriculum. Students might, for example, take a greater number of
the A and AS subjects than
they presently do, particularly in the first year. They might take the key skills
qualification as a separate qualification, or they might take a mix of academic
and vocational qualifications, particularly in the colleges of further education.
1829.
It
is still very early days to begin to measure the impact of these changes. However,
a monitoring programme has been planned which will look at the impact of those
changes later this year. We would like to know to what extent each of the broadening
effects has actually
materialised and how successful practitioners, and indeed students themselves,
believe the changes to be.
1830.
The
early indications are of varying experience in schools. Some have introduced
a greater measure of change than others, and some have found the changes easier to implement than
others. We know that substantial numbers of young people are taking four
subjects in the first year of sixth form instead of the more usual three. We
are not sure to what extent this represents broadening in that the fourth subject
may be a similar subject to the other three. We know that substantial numbers
of young people are taking the separate key skills qualification. We are a provider of that
qualification, and we have indications from a large number of schools
that they will be entering candidates with us. We are not yet aware of the number
of pupils who may be mixing academic and vocational qualifications, either in
schools or in colleges. We want to find answers to those questions, certainly
at the end of the first year as we move into the second year of changes.
1831.
Finally,
I want to mention one additional development before Cecil Holmes talks about
lifelong learning in colleges of further education, and careers guidance. Two weeks ago,
Mr David Blunkett announced the introduction of vocational
GCSEs which will be created by remodelling the remaining GNVQ qualifications.
We have sent advice on this to the Minister of Education and the Minister of
Higher and Further Education, Training and Employment and we are now awaiting
their replies. We see great value in the creation of vocational GCSEs. However, we are concerned
at the present timetable which is moving towards an introduction in September
2002. The CCEA has expressed concern to the two Ministers that this timetable
may not leave adequate time
for the proper development and launching of the new qualifications.
1832.
Mr Holmes: Dr Walker has referred to the
CCEA's remit in relation to the curriculum for young people in full-time
education up to the age of 19. About 20,000 young people are taking courses in
colleges of further and higher education. Following on from Dr Walker's
point, it is fair to say that colleges have embraced the changes that were
heralded by Curriculum
2000 in September 2000. Colleges have made, and will continue to make,
an important contribution to vocational education and training in this
community.
1833.
As
is stated in our submission, questions have been asked about what the focus of
further education ought to be. It is also fair to say that in recent times
differential funding and other directives from the Department have attempted to
ensure that colleges provide courses more directly related to the economic
priorities of Northern Ireland,
particularly those identified by 'Strategy 2010'.
1834.
Of course, there are many
people in the community who want to update their skills and knowledge
or obtain new qualifications. We believe that the concept of lifelong learning
is a reality for all of us. Colleges have a very significant role to play in
delivering that.
1835.
The
move towards unitisation of qualifications, to which Dr Walker referred in his
comments, should assist
colleges to tailor programmes that suit individuals and small
businesses, because they have training needs to which colleges can respond. The
Northern Ireland CCEA argues that careers education and guidance is important.
Recent reports from the Education and Training Inspectorate (ETI) have
suggested that in some places excellent work is being carried out in schools
and colleges. However, some improvement is needed in other areas. As a result
of the ETI reports,
we had a review of
careers education in Northern Ireland that was chaired by Professor
Sean Fulton, formerly of Queen's University Belfast. That report will be
considered by the two Ministers and we hope that careers provision in Northern
Ireland will benefit from it.
1836.
Mr Carrick: In the past, the curriculum
has failed to move in tandem with the needs of industry. Unfortunately, that
failure has created a gap that we will try to address. Does the Northern Ireland
CCEA see any difficulty in attempting to create a curriculum that first, provides
for economic needs, and secondly, fulfils its duty in providing general education?
Are we in danger of falling between those two stools or will the programme be
properly focused so that it will deliver on both objectives?
1837.
Dr Walker: I hope so. I have heard the argument that
the present curriculum has not given enough flexibility to schools because it
is based primarily on a range of academic subjects and is intended as a common
curriculum for all young people. Particularly in Key Stage 4, but also to an
extent in lower key stages, our revision of the curriculum is intended to enable
schools to better tailor the curriculum to suit the needs of individual pupils.
In my introductory remarks I mentioned that we emphasise the place of key skills
in the curriculum. We also emphasise employability. I spoke about personal development
at Key Stage 4 in citizenship. Employability will be studied in the area of
personal development, young people will be taught the skills they need to become
good employees or good employers. It will be an important area of the
curriculum. I hope that we do not fall between the two stools and that
we can move forward with enhanced flexibility that will allow schools to adapt
the curriculum to the individual needs of young people.
1838.
Mr Carrick: Is that a radical change to
the present system? Is the present system designed to cope with such a radical
change?
1839.
Dr Walker: We see the enhanced flexibility
opening the potential for change. Schools will be required to undergo a certain
amount of change. By providing flexibility we are also enabling them to make
changes that they might otherwise have been unable to implement. There is a
mixture; the changes in the curriculum will create and require change to some
degree, but they will also enable others to make changes. We also see
technology having a substantial impact on education over the next number of
years. We also see the role of teachers changing over that time. Schools and colleges will be going
through a period of considerable change. It will be important that all
of us in education services help them make that change successfully.
1840.
Mr Carrick: Teachers will love to hear
that. I hear from the teaching profession that they are looking for a period
of stability.
1841.
Mr McCune: In relation to Key Stage 4,
Mr Holmes and myself
undertook a "pre-consultation" exercise before Christmas. We talked to schools,
colleges and employers about the proposals that we were formatting. With
Key Stage 4, we are taking away what was very much the end of the Northern Ireland
curriculum. This is seen to mark the end of compulsory education by taking it
into the 14 to 19 year old dimension. That is a big change. Schools responded
positively to that change, because it gives them more responsibility. Schools
thought responsibility had been taken from them and that they were tied too
strongly to a content-led curriculum.
1842.
Mr Holmes: That is one of the fundamental
questions that education faces. Dr Walker has stated that our essential responsibility
is to provide those broad key and generic skills that enable young people to
work in different situations. That is the basis of the skills focus in the curriculum
that has been outlined. As employment patterns change, it is difficult
to identify future needs. Therefore, we must try to grasp the nettle
of giving young people those basic generic skills.
1843.
The
CCEA has argued that informed careers guidance must take labour market trends
into account so that young people can make informed decisions on the basis of those trends
and are not necessarily forced into a particular vocational area. The
CCEA works closely with
the Northern Ireland Business Education Partnership (NIBEP) and change
and development must be based on this kind of partnership.
1844.
The Chairperson: You have mentioned your
supervisory role in possible changes to the curriculum and how you envisage
changes in the labour market in the future. To what extent do you liaise with the Training
and Employment Agency, particularly its skills task force and skills unit?
1845.
Mr Holmes: Throughout our work on careers
guidance, we received representation from the Training and Employment Agency, and
from our own qualifications committee. It is an important contribution.
1846.
Mr McCune: We have had close links with
the Training and Employment Agency on basic skills, with particular importance
being focused on the area of adult education.
1847.
Mr Carrick: The results of the skills
task force were alarming, revealing that there is a 70% skills shortage in the
construction industry.
1848.
Dr Walker: That is a long-term problem.
1849.
Mr McCune: Yes, those are the findings of the report.
1850.
Mrs Carson: In your submission to the
Confederation of British Industry (CBI), you outlined the importance of young children having the knowledge,
skills and attitudes to equip them for work and lifelong learning, which
ties in with a change in attitudes from both schools and parents. In what ways
could the attitudes of parents be changed?
1851.
Dr Walker: It is difficult for people in education to
challenge the parents' attitudes. Influence is the best method, and one of
the strongest influences is the ethos of the school itself. It is not simply
what is taught in the classroom or the subject matter but the way children are
treated and the ethos within the school. That transmits to home and helps to
influence parental attitudes. The way in which the school frames and approaches
the curriculum plays a part in creating that ethos and helps the relationship
between parents and schools.
1852.
Mrs Carson: Do you think that our present
education system is failing industry?
1853.
Dr Walker: There is clear evidence from
employers that they are not in receipt of the types of skills and attitudes
they require from the young people they recruit.
1854.
Mr McCune: I was involved in the
consultation that led to Curriculum 2000. Dr Walker has already mentioned
the importance of employers, higher education and the wider key skills of
managing one's own
learning, and all working together to solve problems. Our emphasis is
on wider key skills. Mr Holmes was involved in the GNVQ six unit pilot scheme
which we were very keen to spread across post-primary schools: grammar schools
and secondary schools. In talking about the proposals where we had a graded element and vocational qualifications,
we are not saying that those should only be taught in secondary schools.
1855.
We have been pleasantly surprised
by the positive attitude from the grammar schools to vocational qualifications.
That also challenges parental attitudes because parents tended to view academic
qualifications as
offering more than vocational ones. The qualifications framework helps
because it gives qualifications equal status. It is important that employers
respond to that.
1856.
Mr Holmes: The attitudinal change is difficult
for society. Mr McCune has mentioned that we have tried to improve the credibility
and rigour of assessment in vocational qualifications. It is crucial that the
name change to "vocational A levels" emphasises parity of esteem.
1857.
The
other issue that concerns us is flexibility at Key Stage 4. Currently some young
people have set aside aspects of the statutory curriculum and, as part of their
work with a college of further education, are at least beginning to be introduced
to NVQ in their programmes. We believe that industry would like more young people
with NVQ-type qualifications. Within a credible framework we hope the flexibility
of Key Stage 4 will begin to address the needs of industry.
1858.
I
would like to finish anecdotally. I have been asked to evaluate a school-to-business
programme in north Down. As part of that evaluation I met with two sets of parents,
and for the first time those parents fully understood what vocational qualifications
are about and the credibility in which they are held. Such small things will
contribute to a change of culture and a better understanding among parents.
1859.
Dr Walker: In Northern Ireland there is
a prevalent attitude among parents that their children should aim for the professions.
Recent statistics show that the largest second-choice subject for pupils applying
for medicine at university is not biochemistry or molecular biology but law.
The reason is that law, like medicine, is a high-status profession. In that
sense, attitudes need to be challenged. We need a broader perspective for our
young people.
1860.
Mr Dallat: This is an excellent document,
but many of the ideas have been around for a long time. They have never been delivered,
though I would suggest that that is not the fault of the CCEA. I refer
to lifelong learning, which has been worked on for a long time. The reality
is that you are not the engine that will drive the change, and I do not know
who is.
1861.
Schools still operate between
9.00am and 3.30pm. The concept of lifelong learning is not a reality
in the communities. It was ditched about 12 years ago and has not been mentioned
since. Therefore, how do we deliver, or assess, the skills of the quarter of
a million people between the ages of 16 and 64 who have serious literacy and
numeracy problems? They are equal partners with everybody else in society, but
they have been left out of the equation for a variety of reasons.
1862.
Your efforts to promote and
broaden personal and social education are highly commendable. It is the
best, especially,
dare I say it, those issues which directly influence the way we act politically, how we understand
our communities and
how every individual has an important role to play in improving them.
They are all in the document.
However, as you have pointed out, it will never constitute more than 10% of
the curriculum, and many schools, which are still focused on academia, will never consider it. I suppose that
it is a cry for help; it is certainly not a criticism. How can these programmes gain
the status they deserve, and how can those people who are out of the
loop completely be brought into the equation?
1863.
Dr Walker: I want to say two things briefly,
and then Mr McCune may want to comment.
1864.
With
regard to adult literacy, Mr McCune mentioned that we have had contact with
the basic skills unit, and we discussed how to deliver the basic skills programme,
which is aimed at adult literacy and numeracy, in Northern Ireland. We believe
that the CCEA would provide the basic skills qualification which will be made
available. It will have a specified curriculum and will be delivered through
the formal channel of colleges and through voluntary groups who do work on basic
literacy and numeracy with adults. The aim is for it to be an incentive and
an effective recognition for people who make progress. If they can establish
a level of skill in literacy and numeracy, it is hoped that it will provide
employers with convincing evidence of their achievement.
1865.
I
will turn now to changes in the school curriculum and the emphasis that we want
to place on personal
development. Over the past few years we have been involved in much research.
We were involved in the Northern Ireland Cohort Study, which was an
in-depth study of young people's attitudes, particularly as they went through
Key Stage 3. It focused on how they reacted to the curriculum and how they
perceived what they were taught in school. It was a rich study for findings. It
discovered that pupils gave recognition to the association between assessment
and importance. In other words, if something is assessed and accredited, then
that is what is important.
1866.
Instead
of fighting against that, we have to run with it. Therefore, if we want to emphasise the importance
of personal development,
citizenship and employability et cetera, they must be built into the
examination and qualification structure. We hope that that will be the lever
to create and drive change.
1867.
Mr McCune: Mr Dallat made a good point.
In my view, what we are doing has two tracks. First, there is a hope that changes
to the curriculum, if they work, will eventually mean that the current problems
are a thing of the past. Secondly, there is a need to address the existing issues.
1868.
Dr
Walker mentioned the basic skills and support for those in lifelong learning.
For instance, the NICATS development has been referred to. The University for
Industry talks about a "bite-sized" area. Support is important. Dr Walker mentioned
key skills, and we have been in contact with the basic skills unit. The last
thing you want is a test that 60% of people fail. What does that tell somebody,
as an adult? Careful support is needed to bring those people back into education.
A "get going" attitude can develop, which can be helpful in taking on lifelong
learning. There is a big agenda. I hope that with the curriculum in place and
the qualifications to support it, we are going to take away the need for that
in the longer term.
1869.
Mr Beggs: Returning to vocational training
and skills, I support the idea of giving high-fliers a taste of the real world of future
employment, and also the many underachievers in schools who are currently switched
off. What success have the current pilot schemes had? I understand that they are
helping to improve the attitudes and motivation of those whom the school
system has been failing.
1870.
What
criticisms do you have of the current careers guidance structures? Are you aware of any better
models or any ideas that need to be incorporated? That is another key
feature in linking the world of employment to training, particularly at school
age.
1871.
An
IT lecturer told this Committee that his or her child should not take a particular
computer course because it was so outdated that it would put them off the subject.
When will that be improved? Recently we were told that a popular A level course
in design and technology had been removed from the curriculum. What was the
reason for that?
1872.
Dr Walker: A few years ago the CCEA was
under considerable economic pressure and decided to rationalise the range of
subjects that it offered. It did so in the context of a proposed collaboration
with one of the large
English boards. In the event, that collaboration did not materialise.
We have now moved to reinstate a number of the subjects that we had intended to withdraw
from, including design and technology.
1873.
As
for computer courses being outdated, there is a division between what is taught
in schools under the heading of "computer studies", and ICT. Computer studies
is a course that is directed at people who may have an interest in working with computers at a
later time, for example by undertaking computer science degrees. On the
other hand, ICT is a general course aimed at those who want to become users
of ICT.
1874.
There is a move towards orientating
large numbers of students towards ICT, but a significant number of pupils
may still be taught computer science courses that are probably not particularly
relevant to them. That is a change that is taking place. We are currently revising
GCSE provision for ICT. New specifications are currently being issued.
1875.
Mr McCune: I think that you were
referring to the word that schools hate - the "disapplication" that
the Department brought in in relation to Key Stage 4. Mr Holmes will probably
want to talk about that. He has already said that schools found the framework
of Key Stage 4 difficult to
work with. One of the measures that the Department of Education has put
in place over the past two years, which they call an experiment, is
disapplication.
1876.
In
other words, schools can submit programmes to them which must include a work-related
element. I think that is what you are referring to as very successful. They have been. We have a
14 to 19 year old implementation group which has helped us, particularly
with the 16 to 19 Curriculum
2000. Two principals on that group are involved, and they can show results right
down to attendance levels, which have risen over the two years from 64%
to 91% for one pupil. As Mr Holmes mentioned, that has been down to the practice
of spending three days in school, one in the work place and one in the local
college. They are looking at ways to refine it further because they think too
much is being squeezed into the three days in school, but it has been very successful
and motivating.
1877.
Mr Beggs: When might it be widened?
1878.
Mr McCune: The flexibility we are suggesting
is more for the benefit
of schools, so that they can go on to develop it. Mr Holmes might want to add
something to that, because he has been involved in the evaluation and
he also mentioned the area of careers.
1879.
Dr Walker: In passing over to him, let
me just mention the Key Stage 4 proposals in the sense that, at present, that
scheme is operating by disapplication. In other words, you are saying to some
people that they are not now required to do what the law requires them to do
in terms of the curriculum. An exception is being made in their case. What we
hope to do with this is to make it the norm rather than the exception, if this
is what schools want to do.
1880.
Mr Holmes: I want to add briefly to what
Mr McCune has quite
rightly said. A number of experiments are ongoing following the issue
of a departmental circular after a recommendation from the CCEA. Quite clearly,
attendance and motivation to work in school generally appears to be improving. I looked at examples
in Derry and Newry and found it significant that a number of pupils said
on their return to school that they must improve their numeracy or they would
not be able to work properly on their next day in the work place. Clearly they
saw the relevance of that because they were in that kind of context.
1881.
I
feel I should add a word of caution. In the experimental period, many of the
groups which need that
kind of support are working towards different types of qualifications,
and in some cases towards NVQ units. They find that extremely helpful. As we
review this, the CCEA and the Department will want to make sure that vocational
qualifications are not perceived as being for the disaffected only. The CCEA
plan to investigate the feasibility or necessity of providing a different kind
of occupation-related scheme to meet the need of those pupils to whom you refer,
plus others throughout the school, in the context of Key Stage 4.
1882.
You asked about our most
up-to-date information on careers guidance. I have referred to the review group. Before
we look at too many models it is worth looking at the current position. It
would be fair to say that in some people's minds the issue of league or
school performance tables meant that careers work and the like did not have the
priority that it should have had, and we sympathise with that. That was the
case in some schools. We are not making a value judgement about schools or
criticising them; that was simply the reality. With the removal of performance
tables it may be
that other priorities like careers will get the prominence they
deserve. However, I have in front of me a report from the DETI on careers work,
which we believe covers some of the issues we have to tackle. I will quote one
short paragraph: "In a significant minority of schools, the teachers who
lead the work of the careers department have specialist qualifications in
careers education. The majority of other teachers involved in supporting the
work of the schools in careers education do not have a specialist
qualification."
1883.
That
would not be tenable or tolerable in any other subject area. Therefore, we believe
that in the short term there are specific practical issues that can and ought
to be addressed sooner rather than later. That is one area of particular concern
to us. We have also been told that the Training and Employment Agency complement
of careers officers is below the original intended target. I hope that the review will follow
through on
some of those matters, without breaking any confidence about that review.
1884.
Taking
a slightly more long-term perspective in terms of our own curriculum review,
we argue that skills of self-management and career-management are an integral
part of that curriculum, right through from primary school to the post-primary
sector.
1885.
I
hope that answers your question, Mr Beggs.
1886.
The Chairperson: This will have to be
the final question.
1887.
Ms McWilliams: I am very supportive of
the general direction in which you are moving. I was interested in comments about the dual system in
Germany being inappropriate because it is too slow to respond to a volatile
labour market. It seems that you are trying to suggest a combination, with occasional academic
subjects running alongside areas that can respond. There is one aspect
that I do not understand because I cannot grasp it as well as the work-related
component. While the other four pieces of the statutory entitlement are very
clear, are you suggesting that they can make up the work-related component by
simply selecting elements from other subjects, or is that an entirely new part
of the curriculum? Moreover, did you give some thought to credit accumulation for this new statutory entitlement?
1888.
Mr McCune: At the moment, we set out the
work-related element to cover quite a wide spread. For instance, vocational
GCSEs, if they commend taking the GNVQ model part one as a Key Stage 4 model,
can introduce areas that perhaps have not been able to be taken in the vocational
field before, such as leisure and tourism. Furthermore, they will provide schools
with an opportunity to look at ways in which they can work with colleges or
local industry, in the example I gave of the disapplication. It will be important
for us to link up a corresponding qualification that they could take.
1889.
Ms McWilliams: All I am suggesting is
that it is much more difficult to assess how that would work.
1890.
Dr Walker: Some pilot work is beginning
in areas of employability. We are looking at what is happening with the so-called
disapplication scheme to see how that type of scheme can be expanded to include
a wider range of pupils. Most pupils currently involved in those projects would
be less able than those in secondary schools. Some of the principals involved
are concerned that that is the case and would prefer it to be much more widely
spread. What we want to do by moving that to the centre of the curriculum,
rather than it being on the periphery or even outside it, is to try to ensure
that that will be the case.
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